K. Siniakova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.8 to 14.0, with at least one match where K. Siniakova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving K. Siniakova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

D. Kasatkina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 62. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.7 to 23.7, with at least one match where D. Kasatkina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.