BarlettaClaySemi-finals29 Mar 2026 · 18:50
M. Karol
#412 · Slovakia
VS
M. Mazza
#591 · Italy
KAROL
1.595
·
MAZZA
2.4

Odds

Market
Karol
Mazza
Winner
1.595
2.4
Total
line 21.5
1.77
Over 21.5
1.93
Under 21.5
Total
line 21.0
1.71
Over 21.0
2.13
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.79
-2.5 games
1.91
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.16
-3.5 games
1.69
+3.5 games

Player analysis

M. Karol comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning M. Karol has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Karol vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Karol has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS -1.56Trend up

M. Mazza comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 3. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Mazza vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS 4.38Trend stable

Recent form

LWWWW

4W 1L last 5

22 MarOetzbach6-3 3-6 6-7L
13 MarSchoenW
12 MarLaaroussiW
11 MarVerwerftW
8 MarRaquilletW
LWWLL

2W 3L last 5

30 MarChazal4-6 6-0 2-6L
29 MarKarol5-7 3-6W
29 MarKarol5-7 3-6W
18 MarSeifertL
13 JulOlivieri6-4 2-6 6-4L

Clay court stats

Karol
Stat
Mazza
45.8%
Win rate
51.1%
54–64
W–L
68–65

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces11
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults1