RomeClay1/16-finals12 May 2025 · 16:25
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
VS
J. De Jong
#91 · Netherlands

Odds

Market
Sinner
Jong
Winner

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-28 opposition. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +17.4, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.2/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+53) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 17.36Trend up

J. De Jong has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. De Jong is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. De Jong has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 3.98Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Jong
71.8%
Win rate
62.9%
89–35
W–L
139–82

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved100%
Aces9
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults4