Odds
Player analysis
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. De Jong has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
T. Machac has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 16 Feb | Machac | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Machac | 6-4 3-6 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 20 Jan | Dimitrov | 4-6 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 17 Jan | Humbert | 4-6 7-6 2-6 | W |
Grass court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halle | Grass | 1/16-finals | Machac | 5-7 6-3 3-6 | |
| Australian Open | Hard | Final | Machac | 2-6 3-6 | |
| Traralgon | Hard | Semi-finals | Machac | 4-6 2-6 |

