Odds
Player analysis
J. Ponchet has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.5 to 17.4, with at least one match where J. Ponchet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ponchet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Ponchet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
P. Hon comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning P. Hon has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Hon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Hon has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 2 May | Uchijima | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 1 May | Golubic | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 30 Apr | Kabbaj | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 14 Apr | Baptiste | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 8 Apr | Kudermetova | 1-6 2-6 | L |

