J. Ponchet has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.5 to 17.4, with at least one match where J. Ponchet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ponchet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Ponchet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

M. Uchijima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.0, meaning M. Uchijima has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Uchijima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Uchijima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.