JinanHard1/16-finals8 Oct 2025 · 09:15
P. Kotov
#254 · Russia
VS
A. Holmgren
#185 · Denmark
KOTOV
2.14
·
HOLMGREN
1.74

Odds

Market
Kotov
Holmgren
Winner
2.14
1.74

Player analysis

P. Kotov shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 226. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.8 to 4.5, with at least one match where P. Kotov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving P. Kotov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.36Trend mixed

A. Holmgren has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.3 with a downward trend. A. Holmgren is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Holmgren has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.

DS 2.33Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Kotov
Stat
Holmgren
53.3%
Win rate
62.9%
106–93
W–L
107–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces11
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces11
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Hard 10
P. Kotov vs A. Holmgren head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
JinanHard1/16-finalsKotov6-3 6-4