Odds
Player analysis
R. Tokuda comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.5 to 17.0, with at least one match where R. Tokuda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Tokuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Tokuda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
A. Holmgren comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning A. Holmgren has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Holmgren vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 2 Feb | Shimizu | 7-6 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 13 Jan | Gengel | 6-7 6-0 6-4 | L |
| 6 Jan | Fomin | 7-5 3-6 7-5 | L |
| 11 Nov | Taguchi | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 5 Nov | Rocha | 6-4 6-3 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 12 Mar | Bertola | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 11 Mar | Faurel | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | W |
| 4 Mar | Smith | 3-6 6-3 3-6 | L |
| 26 Feb | Brunold | 5-7 6-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Uchida | 7-6 5-7 6-2 | W |

