Odds
Player analysis
R. Tokuda comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning R. Tokuda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Tokuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Holmgren has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.6 to 17.3, with at least one match where A. Holmgren was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Holmgren has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 2 Feb | Shimizu | 7-6 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 13 Jan | Gengel | 6-7 6-0 6-4 | L |
| 6 Jan | Fomin | 7-5 3-6 7-5 | L |
| 11 Nov | Taguchi | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 5 Nov | Rocha | 6-4 6-3 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 12 Mar | Bertola | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 11 Mar | Faurel | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | W |
| 4 Mar | Smith | 3-6 6-3 3-6 | L |
| 26 Feb | Brunold | 5-7 6-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Uchida | 7-6 5-7 6-2 | W |

