YokkaichiHard1/16-finals23 Mar 2026 · 06:55
R. Tokuda
#318 · Japan
VS
A. Holmgren
#197 · Denmark
TOKUDA
3.12
·
HOLMGREN
1.402

Odds

Market
Tokuda
Holmgren
Winner
3.12
1.402
Total
line 22.5
1.92
Over 22.5
1.75
Under 22.5
Total
line 20.5
1.66
Over 20.5
2.04
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.71
+4.5 games
2.02
-4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.26
+2.5 games
1.55
-2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Tokuda comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.5 to 17.0, with at least one match where R. Tokuda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Tokuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Tokuda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 0.3Trend up

A. Holmgren comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning A. Holmgren has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Holmgren vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS -1.69Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Tokuda
Stat
Holmgren
58.2%
Win rate
62.9%
138–99
W–L
107–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults2