Odds
Player analysis
J. Cui comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 15.3, with at least one match where J. Cui was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Cui vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Cui has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
A. Holmgren has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.8 with a downward trend. A. Holmgren is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Holmgren vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Apr | Kukushkin | 6-4 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 7 Apr | Holmgren | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 24 Mar | Shimizu | 2-6 6-0 6-4 | L |
| 23 Mar | Deckers | 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 22 Mar | Mochizuki | 6-1 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Apr | Bu | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 18 Apr | Broady | 3-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 16 Apr | Galarneau | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 14 Apr | Samrej | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 8 Apr | Kotov | 6-4 7-6 | L |

