Odds
Player analysis
M. Houkes has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.4, meaning M. Houkes has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Houkes vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
V. Gaubas comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.3, meaning V. Gaubas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving V. Gaubas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Gaubas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Aguilar | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 18 Mar | Jong | 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 17 Mar | Wessels | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Trungelliti | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 11 Mar | Donski | 6-7 6-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Shelbayh | 7-6 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Canas | 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 27 Feb | Hanfmann | 3-6 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 25 Feb | Prizmic | 7-5 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Soto | 2-6 3-6 | W |

