RomeClayATP Semi-finals4 May 2026 · 14:00
A. Pellegrino
#124 · Italy
VS
H. Gaston
#118 · France
PELLEGRINO
2.05
·
GASTON
1.8

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Gaston
Winner
2.05
1.8
Total
line 19.0
1.33
Over 19.0
2.83
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.44
Over 19.5
2.43
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.31
-2.0 games
1.89
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.75
-2.5 games
2.08
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.8 with a downward trend. A. Pellegrino is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 1.8Trend down

H. Gaston comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning H. Gaston has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving H. Gaston vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Gaston has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -4.34Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Gaston
54.6%
Win rate
56.4%
247–205
W–L
115–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2