E. Ymer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning E. Ymer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving E. Ymer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.5 to 6.6, with at least one match where C. Garin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.