T. Paul has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.5 to 27.1, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.