ATP BrisbaneHard1/16-finals5 Jan 2026 · 01:00
R. Opelka
#76 · USA
VS
J. Fonseca
#30 · Brazil

Odds

Market
Opelka
Fonseca
Change
Winner

Player analysis

R. Opelka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Opelka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -2.79Trend up

J. Fonseca comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.2 with a downward trend. J. Fonseca is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 2.2Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Opelka
Stat
Fonseca
56.6%
Win rate
74.3%
154–118
W–L
55–19

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved80%
Aces18
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults1