Odds
Player analysis
R. Opelka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Opelka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
J. Fonseca comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.2 with a downward trend. J. Fonseca is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 24 May | Cina | 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Quinn | 5-7 6-7 | L |
| 22 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Draper | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Borges | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 27 May | Prizmic | 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 24 May | Pavlovic | 7-6 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 9 May | Medjedovic | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 26 Apr | Jodar | 6-7 6-4 1-6 | L |
| 17 Apr | Shelton | 3-6 6-3 3-6 | L |

