Odds
Player analysis
J. Fonseca comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.2 to 14.5, with at least one match where J. Fonseca was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
L. Pavlovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Pavlovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Pavlovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 May | Medjedovic | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 26 Apr | Jodar | 6-7 6-4 1-6 | L |
| 17 Apr | Shelton | 3-6 6-3 3-6 | L |
| 15 Apr | Rinderknech | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 14 Apr | Tabilo | 6-7 3-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 22 May | Blanch | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 May | Vera | 6-2 6-7 6-2 | W |
| 19 May | Wendelken | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 11 May | Silva | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Sachko | 4-6 6-2 4-6 | L |

