A. Tabilo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.5, meaning A. Tabilo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Tabilo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

J. Fonseca shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 38. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.5 to 24.2, with at least one match where J. Fonseca was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.