Odds
Player analysis
A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
V. Vacherot has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.3 to 7.2, with at least one match where V. Vacherot was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving V. Vacherot vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 27 Apr | Ruud | 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 25 Apr | Carreno-Busta | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Halys | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 10 Mar | Tien | 4-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Mensik | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Apr | Nava | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 9 Apr | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Musetti | 6-7 5-7 | W |

