MadridClay1/16-finals25 Apr 2026 · 12:55
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
VS
I. Jovic
#16 · USA

Odds

Market
Fernandez
Jovic
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.94
Over 21.5
1.94
Under 21.5
Total
line 20.5
1.68
Over 20.5
2.06
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.96
+2.5 games
1.92
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.68
+3.5 games
2.08
-3.5 games

Player analysis

L. Fernandez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.0 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Fernandez was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 3.57Trend mixed

I. Jovic comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning I. Jovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving I. Jovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.08Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Fernandez
Stat
Jovic
52.3%
Win rate
72%
34–31
W–L
18–7

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1