US OpenHard1/64-finals24 Aug 2025 · 18:55
R. Marino
#258 · Canada
VS
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada

Odds

Market
Marino
Fernandez
Winner

Player analysis

R. Marino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Marino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving R. Marino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.76Trend mixed

L. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning L. Fernandez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Fernandez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -5.76Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

11 SepMaria3-6 5-7L
10 SepTrevisan2-6 3-6W
1 SepSanchez6-4 2-6 4-6L
24 AugFernandez2-6 1-6L
22 AugSalkova3-6 6-2 1-6W
Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

8 MarSiniakova5-7 6-4 7-6L
16 FebTjen6-7 4-6L
15 FebSamsonova7-5 5-7 3-6W
8 FebLi6-4 6-3L
3 FebKessler6-3 6-2L

Hard court stats

Marino
Stat
Fernandez
58.8%
Win rate
62.4%
184–129
W–L
151–91

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces8
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5