Porto 2ClayQuarter-finals29 Aug 2025 · 14:05
N. Alvarez Varona
#461 · Spain
VS
G. A. Bailly
#212 · Belgium

Odds

Market
Varona
Bailly
Winner

Player analysis

N. Alvarez Varona comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning N. Alvarez Varona has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Alvarez Varona vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS -1.07Trend mixed

G. A. Bailly comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning G. A. Bailly has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving G. A. Bailly vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

DS -5.74Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

18 SepBoitan6-7 6-3 6-4L
17 SepRoncadelli4-6 4-6W
1 SepFaria6-3 3-6 4-6L
29 AugBailly2-6 6-3 4-6L
27 AugBarrena4-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLLLWL

1W 4L last 5

10 MarGhibaudo6-3 3-6 6-3L
4 MarHerbert6-3 6-7 6-3L
28 JanSakellaridis3-6 2-6L
27 JanMatsuoka6-1 6-3W
20 JanRehberg6-3 1-6 4-6L

Clay court stats

Varona
Stat
Bailly
53.4%
Win rate
58.2%
111–97
W–L
124–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults3