J. Faria shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 134. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.2 with a downward trend. J. Faria is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.7, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.