Odds
Player analysis
V. Goncalves comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning V. Goncalves has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving V. Goncalves vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Goncalves has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
J. Faria has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 24 Mar | Faria | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Pereira | 7-5 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Silva | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 6 Jul | Stalder | 7-5 6-2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Schiessl | 6-2 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Goncalves | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Midon | 7-6 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 19 Mar | Cigarran | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 18 Mar | Olivieri | 3-6 6-2 3-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Marcondes | 7-6 4-6 5-7 | L |

