Odds
Player analysis
E. Spizzirri comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 17.4, with at least one match where E. Spizzirri was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Spizzirri has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.
M. Echargui comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.2, meaning M. Echargui has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Echargui vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Echargui has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 25 May | Tiafoe | 3-6 7-6 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 12 Feb | Jones | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Duckworth | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sinner | 6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 22 Jan | Wu | 6-2 6-4 6-7 4-6 6-3 | W |
0W 5L last 5
| 26 May | Bertola | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 18 May | Tomic | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 12 May | Clarke | 6-0 6-3 | L |
| 4 May | Garin | 6-0 6-2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Garin | 7-6 4-6 2-6 | L |

