Odds
Player analysis
J. Duckworth comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning J. Duckworth has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Duckworth vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 27 May | Jodar | 1-6 7-6 4-6 5-7 | L |
| 19 May | Djere | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 17 May | Butvilas | 5-7 6-7 | L |
| 16 May | Damas | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Napolitano | 6-7 7-6 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 26 May | Walton | 6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 16 May | Sinner | 6-2 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 14 May | Landaluce | 6-1 4-6 5-7 | W |
| 12 May | Tirante | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 11 May | Ruiz | 6-3 4-6 2-6 | W |

