Odds
Player analysis
A. Gea comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning A. Gea has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
L. Draxl comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.9, meaning L. Draxl has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving L. Draxl vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 24 May | Khachanov | 6-3 7-6 6-0 | L |
| 19 May | Kovacevic | 6-2 7-6 | L |
| 17 May | Kovacevic | 5-7 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 16 May | Petkovic | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Gaubas | 2-6 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 20 May | Jong | 4-6 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 18 May | Simakin | 4-6 7-6 2-6 | W |
| 11 May | Nava | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Feldbausch | 1-6 0-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Dias | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | W |

