MadridClay1/8-finals30 Apr 2025 · 16:10
J. Draper
#26 · United Kingdom
VS
T. Paul
#23 · USA
DRAPER
1.56
·
PAUL
2.62

Odds

Market
Draper
Paul
Winner
1.56
2.62
Total
line 18.5
1.13
Over 18.5
4.5
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.16
Over 19.0
4.2
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
8
-6.5 games
1.06
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
7.5
-6.0 games
1.07
+6 games

Player analysis

J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.2 with a downward trend. J. Draper is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 1.23Trend down

T. Paul has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.5 to 27.1, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 2.3Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

13 MarMedvedev1-6 5-7L
12 MarDjokovic6-4 4-6 6-7W
9 MarCerundolo1-6 5-7W
7 MarBautista-Agut6-3 3-6 2-6W
25 FebRinderknech7-5 6-7 6-4L
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

9 MarFonseca6-2 6-3L
7 MarBergs1-6 2-6W
22 FebTien4-6 6-4 6-3W
22 FebKorda4-6 3-6L
21 FebFritz4-6 3-6W

Clay court stats

Draper
Stat
Paul
56.9%
Win rate
75%
29–22
W–L
12–4

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

42
Clay 10
Grass 01
Hard 31
J. Draper vs T. Paul head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/8-finalsDraper6-2 6-2
ATP LondonGrassQuarter-finalsPaul3-6 7-5 4-6
ATP AcapulcoHard1/16-finalsDraper6-0 6-4
ATP Australian OpenHard1/32-finalsPaul6-2 3-6 6-3 7-5
ATP AdelaideHardQuarter-finalsDraper1-6 4-6
Adelaide 2Hard1/8-finalsDraper4-6 4-6