DubaiHard1/8-finals25 Feb 2026 · 19:00
A. Rinderknech
#27 · France
VS
J. Draper
#26 · United Kingdom
RINDERKNECH
3.98
·
DRAPER
1.29

Odds

Market
Rinderknech
Draper
Winner
3.98
1.29

Player analysis

A. Rinderknech comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning A. Rinderknech has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rinderknech vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rinderknech has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -6.47Trend mixed

J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.2 with a downward trend. J. Draper is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 1.23Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

10 MarAlcaraz6-7 6-3 6-2L
26 FebRublev6-2 6-4L
25 FebDraper7-5 6-7 6-4W
24 FebMarozsan6-3 3-6 4-6W
17 FebAlcaraz6-4 7-6L
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

13 MarMedvedev1-6 5-7L
12 MarDjokovic6-4 4-6 6-7W
9 MarCerundolo1-6 5-7W
7 MarBautista-Agut6-3 3-6 2-6W
25 FebRinderknech7-5 6-7 6-4L

Hard court stats

Rinderknech
Stat
Draper
56.2%
Win rate
72.6%
150–117
W–L
167–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces11
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults3