Odds
Player analysis
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Draper | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Kovacevic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Majchrzak | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 1 Feb | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 30 Jan | Sinner | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | W |
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athens | Indoor | Final | Djokovic | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/8-finals | Djokovic | 2-6 2-6 | |
| Olympic Games | Grass | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 6-4 6-2 | |
| ATP Wimbledon | Grass | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 4-6 6-7 4-6 | |
| ATP French Open | Clay | 1/16-finals | Djokovic | 7-5 6-7 2-6 6-3 6-0 | |
| ATP Monte Carlo | Clay | 1/8-finals | Djokovic | 7-5 6-3 | |
| ATP Monte Carlo | Clay | 1/8-finals | Musetti | 6-4 5-7 4-6 | |
| Paris | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Djokovic | 6-3 | |
| Dubai | Hard | 1/16-finals | Djokovic | 6-3 6-3 |