GuangzhouHardQuarter-finals24 Oct 2025 · 11:45
E. Cocciaretto
#44 · Italy
VS
A. Li
#39 · USA
COCCIARETTO
2.73
·
LI
1.51

Odds

Market
Cocciaretto
Li
Winner
2.73
1.51
Total
line 18.5
1.34
Over 18.5
3.25
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.35
Over 19.0
2.79
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
2.18
-2.0 games
1.72
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.07
-2.5 games
1.8
+2.5 games

Player analysis

E. Cocciaretto shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 51. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 17.0, with at least one match where E. Cocciaretto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving E. Cocciaretto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Cocciaretto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 4.74Trend mixed

A. Li comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.2, meaning A. Li has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS -5.22Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWLWW

4W 1L last 5

14 FebZakharova6-2 6-7 7-5W
13 FebVekic0-6 6-3 6-2W
12 FebOstapenko7-5 6-4L
11 FebLi6-7 7-5 4-6W
10 FebGauff6-4 6-2W
Recent form bar chartLLLLW

1W 4L last 5

4 MarGibson6-3 7-5L
26 FebSonmez6-3 6-7 4-6L
15 FebNoskova6-3 5-7 6-4L
11 FebCocciaretto6-7 7-5 4-6L
10 FebFrech3-6 4-6W

Hard court stats

Cocciaretto
Stat
Li
54.2%
Win rate
51.6%
77–65
W–L
16–15

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

21
Hard 21
E. Cocciaretto vs A. Li head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DohaHard1/8-finalsCocciaretto6-7 7-5 4-6
WTA HobartHard1/8-finalsCocciaretto1-6 7-5 7-5
GuangzhouHardQuarter-finalsLi3-6 4-6