RouenClay1/16-finals13 Apr 2026 · 13:40
D. Kasatkina
#75 · Australia
VS
A. Li
#34 · USA
KASATKINA
2.01
·
LI
1.86

Odds

Market
Kasatkina
Li
Winner
2.01
1.86
Total
line 18.5
1.31
Over 18.5
3.03
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.47
Over 19.5
2.42
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.51
-3.5 games
2.38
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.57
-3.0 games
2.19
+3 games

Player analysis

D. Kasatkina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning D. Kasatkina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.57Trend mixed

A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 0.11Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kasatkina
Stat
Li
63%
Win rate
62.5%
92–54
W–L
55–33

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults7
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults3