Odds
Player analysis
D. Kasatkina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning D. Kasatkina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 16 Feb | Siegemund | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 11 Feb | Swiatek | 5-7 6-1 6-1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Mertens | 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 8 Feb | Uchijima | 4-6 6-3 6-0 | W |
| 2 Feb | Waltert | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Apr | Yastremska | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sabalenka | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Birrell | 6-2 2-6 6-3 | W |
| 4 Mar | Gibson | 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 26 Feb | Sonmez | 6-3 6-7 4-6 | L |

