E. Cocciaretto comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning E. Cocciaretto has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving E. Cocciaretto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Cocciaretto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

A. Charaeva has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Charaeva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.