Odds
Player analysis
E. Cocciaretto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Cocciaretto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
A. Charaeva comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning A. Charaeva has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Charaeva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Apr | Uchijima | 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Pegula | 1-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Yuan | 0-6 5-7 | W |
| 20 Mar | Gauff | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Semenistaja | 4-6 1-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Apr | Pieri | 6-1 6-1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Hodzic | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Timofeeva | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 27 Mar | Kostovic | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 27 Mar | Garcia | 1-6 1-6 | L |

