A. Rublev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

F. Cobolli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.9, meaning F. Cobolli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.