MiamiHardATP Final17 Mar 2026 · 20:55
L. Draxl
#164 · Canada
VS
J. Clarke
#251 · United Kingdom
DRAXL
1.42
·
CLARKE
2.95

Odds

Market
Draxl
Clarke
Winner
1.42
2.95
Total
line 19.0
1.27
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.38
Over 19.5
2.62
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
4.65
-6.0 games
1.15
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.26
-5.5 games
1.28
+5.5 games

Player analysis

L. Draxl comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.9, meaning L. Draxl has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving L. Draxl vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS -8.92Trend mixed

J. Clarke comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.3 to 21.5, with at least one match where J. Clarke was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Clarke vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.78Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Draxl
Stat
Clarke
66.7%
Win rate
53.6%
164–82
W–L
133–115

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces1
Double faults2