Odds
Player analysis
J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
L. Chirico comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.7, meaning L. Chirico has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving L. Chirico vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 3 Mar | Chirico | 3-6 6-2 3-6 | W |
| 22 Feb | Bartunkova | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 21 Feb | Appleton | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Guo | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 13 Jan | Chirico | 6-3 1-6 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 16 Feb | Ostapenko | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 13 Feb | Ostapenko | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 12 Feb | Ostapenko | 7-5 6-4 | L |

