Odds
Player analysis
F. Cerundolo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -27.3 to 23.4, with at least one match where F. Cerundolo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving F. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
T. Machac has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 6 Apr | Tsitsipas | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 27 Mar | Zverev | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 25 Mar | Humbert | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 23 Mar | Medvedev | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | W |
| 21 Mar | Tirante | 6-4 6-2 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Altmaier | 4-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Jodar | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Moutet | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Nava | 6-2 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |

