Odds
Player analysis
R. Jodar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 152. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 25.6, with at least one match where R. Jodar was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.6, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 31 Mar | Lajovic | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 22 Mar | Etcheverry | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Vukic | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Hanfmann | 6-4 4-6 6-1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Dhamne | 6-3 7-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 21 Mar | Moutet | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Nava | 6-2 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Tsitsipas | 6-4 3-6 7-6 7-6 | W |

