Odds
Player analysis
T. A. Tirante has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.4 to 18.4, with at least one match where T. A. Tirante was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. A. Tirante has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 66. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.7 to 16.3, with at least one match where P. Carreno-Busta was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Carreno-Busta has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 27 May | Fokina | 6-4 6-7 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 24 May | Ruiz | 3-6 6-7 7-6 0-6 | W |
| 18 May | Rinderknech | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 12 May | Medvedev | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 11 May | Cobolli | 3-6 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 25 May | Lehecka | 6-3 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 14 May | Baez | 7-5 5-7 5-7 | W |
| 12 May | Comesana | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 6 May | Tabilo | 2-6 1-6 | L |
| 4 May | Damm | 6-3 6-3 | W |

