RomeClayATP Semi-finals4 May 2026 · 11:50
P. Carreno-Busta
#89 · Spain
VS
M. Damm
#116 · USA
CARRENO-BUSTA
1.47
·
DAMM
2.77

Odds

Market
Carreno-Busta
Damm
Winner
1.47
2.77
Total
line 19.0
1.29
Over 19.0
3.04
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.4
Over 19.5
2.56
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
4.4
-5.0 games
1.16
+5 games
Handicap
games
3.08
-4.5 games
1.31
+4.5 games

Player analysis

P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 66. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.7 to 16.3, with at least one match where P. Carreno-Busta was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Carreno-Busta has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 2.64Trend mixed

M. Damm has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Damm vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.36Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Carreno-Busta
Stat
Damm
65.1%
Win rate
48.9%
278–149
W–L
43–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults4