Odds
Market
Martinez
Carreno-Busta
Winner
—
—
Total
line 21.5
1.77
Over 21.5
2.09
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
1.95
Over 22.5
1.76
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
2.08
-2.0 games
1.65
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.56
+3.5 games
2.27
-3.5 games
Player analysis
P. Martinez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.6 to 16.2, with at least one match where P. Martinez was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving P. Martinez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 8.01Trend mixed
P. Carreno-Busta arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.1 (range: 1.6 to 18.2). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
DS 10.12Trend up
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Mar | Bertola | 4-6 6-0 6-1 | W |
| 24 Mar | Jover | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 23 Feb | Comesana | 6-4 2-6 7-6 | L |
| 18 Feb | Dzumhur | 0-6 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 14 Feb | Darderi | 5-7 1-6 | L |
5W 0L last 5
| 26 Mar | Quilez | 6-3 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gulin | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Baena | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Coppejans | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 20 Mar | Pellegrino | 3-6 4-6 | W |
Clay court stats
MartinezStatCarreno-Busta
59.5%Win rate64.6%
276–188W–L267–146
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2
Head to head
1–0
Clay 1–0
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicante Challenger Men | Clay | 1/16-finals | Martinez | 3-6 5-7 |

