S. Gulin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.0, meaning S. Gulin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving S. Gulin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Gulin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

P. Carreno-Busta arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.