Odds
Player analysis
A. Cazaux has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.8 to 22.5, with at least one match where A. Cazaux was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Cazaux has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 277. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Tiafoe | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Vera | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 12 Mar | Fearnley | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | W |
| 3 Jan | Landaluce | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 4 Nov | Norrie | 7-6 6-7 2-6 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 29 Mar | Ruiz | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Ofner | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 27 Mar | Martinez | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Quilez | 6-3 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gulin | 5-7 1-6 | W |

