Odds
Player analysis
A. Cazaux has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.8 to 22.5, with at least one match where A. Cazaux was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Cazaux has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 66. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.7 to 16.3, with at least one match where P. Carreno-Busta was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Carreno-Busta has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Tiafoe | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Vera | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 12 Mar | Fearnley | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | W |
| 3 Jan | Landaluce | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 4 Nov | Norrie | 7-6 6-7 2-6 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 25 May | Lehecka | 6-3 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 14 May | Baez | 7-5 5-7 5-7 | W |
| 12 May | Comesana | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 6 May | Tabilo | 2-6 1-6 | L |
| 4 May | Damm | 6-3 6-3 | W |

