Odds
Player analysis
B. Shelton has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning B. Shelton has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Shelton has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.6, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Shevchenko | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Tien | 6-7 6-4 3-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 15 Feb | Shapovalov | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 15 Feb | Fritz | 6-3 3-6 5-7 | W |

