Odds
Player analysis
K. Majchrzak comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.8, meaning K. Majchrzak has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving K. Majchrzak vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Majchrzak has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 9.1, with at least one match where C. Ugo Carabelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 1 Apr | Trungelliti | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 31 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-7 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 23 Mar | Halys | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Tien | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 19 Mar | Kecmanovic | 4-6 6-3 6-1 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 15 May | Kecmanovic | 1-6 1-6 | L |
| 14 May | Berrettini | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 6 May | Shevchenko | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 25 Apr | Cobolli | 7-6 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Monfils | 6-3 6-4 | W |

