French OpenClay1/8-finals31 May 2026 · 11:00
R. Jodar
ATP #29Spain
VS
P. Carreno-Busta
ATP #89Spain

Odds

Market
Jodar
Carreno-Busta
Change
Winner
Total
line 3.5
1.7
Over 3.5
2.05
Under 3.5
Total
line 4.5
3.7
Over 4.5
1.23
Under 4.5
Handicap
games
1.02
+2.5 games
10.5
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.2
-2.5 games
1.6
+2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Jodar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.1 to 27.3, with at least one match where R. Jodar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving R. Jodar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 10.34Trend mixed

P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 54. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.7 to 16.3, with at least one match where P. Carreno-Busta was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Carreno-Busta has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS 1.1Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Jodar
Stat
Carreno-Busta
54.8%
Win rate
65.1%
17–14
W–L
278–149

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults1

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
JodarCarreno-Busta

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #29Jodar vs Carreno-BustaATP #89

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Jodar 55% (1714) · Carreno-Busta 65% (278149)

Last match at French Open

W27 May 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/32-finals
vs J. Duckworth · 1-6 7-6 4-6 5-7
1st serve63%1st won77.5%Aces7BP conv28.6%
W29 May 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/16-finals
vs T. A. Tirante · 6-7 5-7 6-3 4-6
1st serve63%1st won70.9%Aces10BP conv25%

Quick comparison

JodarStatCarreno-Busta
55%Clay W%65%
70%1st serve % (L5)70%
70%1st serve won (L5)60%
40%BP conv (L5)40%
5Aces (L5 avg)5