Odds
Player analysis
I. Buse has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.7 to 8.5, with at least one match where I. Buse was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
V. Gaubas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.6, meaning V. Gaubas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving V. Gaubas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Gaubas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 19 Mar | Dzumhur | 7-6 6-7 1-6 | L |
| 17 Mar | Wong | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 16 Mar | Echargui | 6-3 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 4 Mar | Hijikata | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 2 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 7-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevideo | Clay | 1/8-finals | Buse | 6-2 2-6 7-6 | |
| Lisbon | Clay | Semi-finals | Gaubas | 5-7 6-7 | |
| Menorca | Clay | Semi-finals | Gaubas | 4-6 6-4 4-6 |

