Hong KongHardQuarter-finals9 Jan 2026 · 08:20
A. Rublev
#13 · Russia
VS
N. Borges
#51 · Portugal
RUBLEV
1.53
·
BORGES
2.71

Odds

Market
Rublev
Borges
Winner
1.53
2.71
Total
line 18.5
1.19
Over 18.5
3.99
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.25
Over 19.5
3.42
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
7
-6.0 games
1.07
+6 games
Handicap
games
5.86
-5.5 games
1.14
+5.5 games

Player analysis

A. Rublev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 2.8Trend up

N. Borges has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.5 to 27.5, with at least one match where N. Borges was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

DS 8.08Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rublev
Stat
Borges
62.8%
Win rate
61.8%
311–184
W–L
126–78

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

40
Clay 10
Hard 20
Indoor 10
A. Rublev vs N. Borges head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Monte CarloClayATP 1/32-finalsRublev6-4 1-6 6-1
Hong KongHardQuarter-finalsRublev6-3 6-4
DohaHard1/8-finalsRublev6-3 6-4
ATP BaselIndoor1/16-finalsRublev6-3 6-2