Monte CarloClay1/32-finals6 Apr 2026 · 11:10
A. Rublev
ATP #13Russia
VS
N. Borges
ATP #51Portugal
RUBLEV
1.28
·
BORGES
3.75

Odds

Market
Rublev
Borges
Winner
1.28
3.75
Total
line 18.5
1.25
Over 18.5
3.28
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.29
Over 19.0
3.08
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
7.7
-7.5 games
1.06
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
7.1
-7.0 games
1.07
+7 games

Player analysis

A. Rublev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 50. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.12Trend mixed

N. Borges has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS 7.12Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rublev
Stat
Borges
62.1%
Win rate
65.2%
121–74
W–L
118–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
RublevBorges

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #13Rublev vs BorgesATP #51

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Rublev 62% (12174) · Borges 65% (11863)

Quick comparison

RublevStatBorges
62%Clay W%65%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)40%
7Aces (L5 avg)7