Monte CarloClay1/32-finals6 Apr 2026 · 11:10
A. Rublev
#15 · Russia
VS
N. Borges
#52 · Portugal
RUBLEV
1.362
·
BORGES
3.39

Odds

Market
Rublev
Borges
Winner
1.362
3.39
Total
line 22.5
1.98
Over 22.5
1.74
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.73
Over 21.5
2
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
2.37
-4.5 games
1.52
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
1.56
-2.5 games
2.48
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.36Trend mixed

N. Borges comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.5 to 11.6, with at least one match where N. Borges was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 0.22Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rublev
Stat
Borges
62.1%
Win rate
66.5%
121–74
W–L
115–58

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

40
Clay 10
Hard 20
Indoor 10
A. Rublev vs N. Borges head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Monte CarloClayATP 1/32-finalsRublev6-4 1-6 6-1
Hong KongHardQuarter-finalsRublev6-3 6-4
DohaHard1/8-finalsRublev6-3 6-4
ATP BaselIndoor1/16-finalsRublev6-3 6-2