Odds
Player analysis
A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
N. Borges comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.5 to 11.6, with at least one match where N. Borges was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 14 Apr | Navone | 4-6 5-7 | W |
| 8 Apr | Bergs | 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Borges | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Tabilo | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Apr | Etcheverry | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 13 Apr | Mannarino | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 6 Apr | Rublev | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | L |
| 1 Apr | Dzumhur | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

