JinanHardSemi-finals11 Oct 2025 · 11:15
P. Bar Biryukov
#269 · Russia
VS
M. McDonald
#126 · USA

Odds

Market
Biryukov
McDonald
Winner

Player analysis

P. Bar Biryukov arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.6 to 23.8, with at least one match where P. Bar Biryukov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 8.43Trend mixed

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.2, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -13.2Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Biryukov
Stat
McDonald
57.8%
Win rate
56.5%
111–81
W–L
268–206

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces11
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2