Odds
Player analysis
M. Vondrousova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 12.3, with at least one match where M. Vondrousova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Vondrousova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
K. Birrell comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.3, meaning K. Birrell has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.0/10, leaving K. Birrell vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Birrell has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 13 Jan | Samsonova | 1-6 6-4 2-6 | W |
| 5 Jan | Frech | 5-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 14 Oct | Muchova | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 1 Sep | Rybakina | 4-6 7-5 2-6 | W |
| 29 Aug | Paolini | 7-6 6-1 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 26 May | Pegula | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 12 May | Boulter | 5-7 6-7 | L |
| 4 May | Yuan | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 22 Apr | Udvardy | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | L |
| 10 Apr | Dart | 6-4 3-6 3-6 | L |

