Rio de JaneiroClay1/16-finals17 Feb 2026 · 20:40
T. Barrios Vera
#119 · Chile
VS
M. Berrettini
#68 · Italy
VERA
3.77
·
BERRETTINI
1.31

Odds

Market
Vera
Berrettini
Winner
3.77
1.31

Player analysis

T. Barrios Vera comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning T. Barrios Vera has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Barrios Vera vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Barrios Vera has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -5.68Trend mixed

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -4Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

10 MarCollignon6-7 3-6L
4 MarGalarneau6-3 6-4L
3 MarLeach3-6 3-6W
25 FebTabilo7-5 6-3L
17 FebBerrettini6-7 5-7L
Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

6 MarZverev3-6 4-6L
5 MarMannarino4-6 7-5 7-5W
24 FebNava6-3 6-4L
20 FebBuse6-3 2-6 6-3L
20 FebLajovic3-6 6-4 6-2W

Clay court stats

Vera
Stat
Berrettini
61.9%
Win rate
68.5%
227–140
W–L
98–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults2